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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast, September 26, 2018

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest A cold front finally works through and out of the state today. Still, we see lingering moisture over most of the state through a large part of the day. We may see dry down initiate in western and NW Ohio this afternoon, but in general, it will take into this evening to be rid of moisture statewide. Additional rains today can range from a few hundredths to perhaps an inch. Most of us will see a quarter inch or less. However, there still can be some heavier thunderstorms along the front in central and eastern parts of the state, particularly along and south of I-70.  The map at right shows rain potential through the end of the day today.Drier weather returns overnight. as high pressure comes out of northern Indiana and settles in over northern Ohio for Tomorrow. This high pressure dome will allow for the dry pattern to run right on through Friday. Temps will be cooler tonight and tomorrow behind the front, averaging 2-5 degrees below normal for this time of year tomorrow and Friday.The weekend is a drier in our outlook this morning, and we are pushing our significant next system back a little bit into next week. We sunshine and blue sky for most of the weekend, and only a few clouds drifting over northern Ohio saturday midday into early afternoon. Monday looks good too, with temps starting to climb just a bit.Our next system brings scattered showers for Tuesday and a reinforcing shot of rain and thunderstorms Wednesday through the first half of Thursday of next week. Combined rain totals for the Tuesday-Thursday midday period will be from .25”-1.5” with 75% coverage. However, the key to those rain totals will be thunderstorms. If thunderstorms do not develop (and some guidance suggests there is not much of a threat) then we are looking at a .25”-.5” rain fall event at best. Without thunderstorms, this is a fairly gentle system.We go back to dry weather for the finish of the week Friday and Saturday, and then start off the 11-16 day extended period with dry weather for Saturday and for Sunday morning. From there, we are making some changes to our extended forecast. Dry, high pressure looks to get locked up farther north, and we instead see some significant rains (.5”-2”) over the state from Sunday afternoon through Monday (the 7th and 8th). Those rains are not completely unexpected. Models had been trying to put a front in there around the 7th and 8th for the better part of the past week. Where our bigger change is coming is for the balance of the extended forecast window. We can see scattered showers linger for the 9th through the 11th, and they can bring another .25”-1” of moisture over the three days combined. With no changes going forward, this would mean a more lengthy slow down in harvest in early October. There is plenty of time for this front to modify and for us to move back to a drier forecast…but for now we are making the change to a more active pattern.last_img

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